This is an export of TheLetterZed's spreadsheet as of 10/17/2025, 5:17:29 PM PT.
| Name | Average RTP | Crate Price (Keys) |
Cost to Open (Keys) |
Expected Value (Keys) |
Average Profit (Keys) |
Chance to Profit | Buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mann Co. Director's Cut Reel | 107% | 0.89 - 1.09 | 1.00 | 2.13 - 2.14 | 0.14 | 50.33% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #82 | 103% | 0.06 - 0.07 | 1.00 | 1.06 - 1.13 | 0.03 | 16.06% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #49 | 99% | 0.03 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 1.01 - 1.04 | -0.01 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #41 | 99% | 0.12 - 0.14 | 1.00 | 1.12 - 1.11 | -0.01 | 40.26% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #31 | 99% | 0.43 - 0.54 | 1.00 | 1.44 - 1.49 | -0.01 | 45.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #42 | 97% | 0.32 - 0.41 | 1.00 | 1.28 - 1.36 | -0.04 | 30.36% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #76 | 94% | 0.02 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.93 - 1.00 | -0.07 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #45 | 94% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.92 - 0.99 | -0.06 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #28 | 94% | 0.54 - 0.65 | 1.00 | 1.49 - 1.50 | -0.10 | 45.66% |
|
| Scream Fortress XIII War Paint Case | 93% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.18 | 0.88 - 1.34 | -0.08 | 13.68% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #85 | 93% | 0.03 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.95 - 0.99 | -0.07 | 17.99% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #33 | 93% | 1.08 - 1.13 | 1.00 | 1.86 - 2.07 | -0.14 | 45.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #77 | 91% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.91 - 0.95 | -0.09 | 20.46% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #38 | 91% | 0.37 - 0.47 | 1.00 | 1.28 - 1.30 | -0.13 | 23.16% |
|
| Scream Fortress XIV War Paint Case | 90% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.18 | 0.89 - 1.26 | -0.12 | 11.84% |
|
| Infernal Reward War Paint Case | 90% | 0.46 - 0.55 | 1.16 | 1.14 - 1.83 | -0.17 | 12.67% |
|
| Summer 2023 War Paint Case | 89% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.19 | 0.87 - 1.26 | -0.14 | 9.72% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #103 | 87% | 0.05 - 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.89 - 0.95 | -0.14 | 21.16% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #50 | 87% | 85.48 - 95.98 | 1.00 | 75.23 - 84.58 | -11.83 | 59.60% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #47 | 86% | 0.03 - 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.86 - 0.90 | -0.15 | 40.26% |
|
| Winter 2020 War Paint Case | 84% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.81 - 1.18 | -0.19 | 7.17% |
|
| Scream Fortress XII War Paint Case | 83% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.18 | 0.80 - 1.20 | -0.20 | 10.20% |
|
| Scream Fortress XVI War Paint Case | 79% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.16 | 0.77 - 1.08 | -0.25 | 10.30% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #37 | 79% | 0.20 - 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.95 - 1.00 | -0.25 | 45.66% |
|
| Winter 2017 War Paint Case | 78% | 4.44 - 5.18 | 1.10 | 3.16 - 6.11 | -1.28 | 18.57% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #54 | 77% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.77 - 0.80 | -0.24 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #32 | 77% | 0.17 - 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.96 - 0.92 | -0.27 | 45.66% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #30 | 77% | 84.26 - 95.29 | 1.00 | 66.75 - 72.85 | -20.97 | 19.80% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #29 | 74% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.77 - 0.80 | -0.27 | 23.16% |
|
| Scream Fortress X War Paint Case | 73% | 0.08 - 0.11 | 1.19 | 0.73 - 1.15 | -0.34 | 8.37% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #90 | 71% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.71 - 0.74 | -0.30 | 11.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #24 | 70% | 0.78 - 0.84 | 1.00 | 1.27 - 1.28 | -0.54 | 23.16% |
|
| Winter 2019 War Paint Case | 69% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.15 | 0.62 - 0.98 | -0.37 | 9.04% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #60 | 69% | 10.22 - 11.22 | 1.00 | 7.16 - 8.94 | -3.67 | 40.26% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #55 | 69% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.70 - 0.70 | -0.32 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #34 | 68% | 0.08 - 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.74 - 0.74 | -0.35 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #75 | 67% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.67 - 0.68 | -0.34 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #71 | 67% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.68 - 0.68 | -0.34 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #43 | 67% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.68 - 0.68 | -0.33 | 11.66% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #40 | 66% | 19.67 - 24.56 | 1.00 | 14.25 - 16.32 | -7.83 | 19.80% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #44 | 65% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.64 - 0.68 | -0.35 | 30.36% |
|
| End of the Line Community Crate | 63% | 0.05 - 0.23 | 1.26 | 0.88 - 0.89 | -0.51 | 4.55% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #56 | 63% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.63 - 0.65 | -0.37 | 20.46% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Medic | 62% | 1.01 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.63 - 0.73 | -0.41 | 10.85% |
|
| Winter 2017 Cosmetic Case | 61% | 0.03 - 0.03 | 1.15 | 0.65 - 0.78 | -0.47 | 4.53% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #26 | 61% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.64 - 0.65 | -0.41 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #25 | 60% | 0.64 - 0.73 | 1.00 | 1.01 - 1.02 | -0.67 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #21 | 60% | 0.91 - 1.11 | 1.00 | 1.17 - 1.24 | -0.81 | 22.91% |
|
| Summer 2019 Cosmetic Case | 58% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.16 | 0.65 - 0.72 | -0.49 | 5.11% |
|
| Winter 2023 Cosmetic Case | 57% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.66 - 0.70 | -0.50 | 5.39% |
|
| Jungle Jackpot War Paint Case | 57% | 0.95 - 1.12 | 1.15 | 0.98 - 1.51 | -0.94 | 8.75% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #92 | 57% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.58 - 0.58 | -0.44 | 1.16% |
|
| Winter 2022 Cosmetic Case | 56% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.18 | 0.63 - 0.70 | -0.53 | 4.97% |
|
| Spooky Spoils Case | 56% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.17 | 0.62 - 0.71 | -0.53 | 10.84% |
|
| Winter 2024 Cosmetic Case | 55% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.60 - 0.68 | -0.53 | 2.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #39 | 55% | 0.03 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.56 - 0.57 | -0.47 | 10.09% |
|
| Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Case | 54% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.15 | 0.58 - 0.68 | -0.53 | 3.95% |
|
| Abominable Cosmetic Case | 54% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.17 | 0.61 - 0.69 | -0.54 | 3.90% |
|
| Winter 2018 Cosmetic Case | 53% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.16 | 0.58 - 0.65 | -0.55 | 2.50% |
|
| Blue Moon Cosmetic Case | 53% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.17 | 0.60 - 0.66 | -0.56 | 6.83% |
|
| Creepy Crawly Case | 53% | 2.73 - 2.98 | 1.16 | 2.05 - 2.17 | -1.90 | 6.54% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #91 | 53% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.48 - 0.59 | -0.48 | 3.66% |
|
| Summer 2020 Cosmetic Case | 52% | 0.11 - 0.17 | 1.19 | 0.65 - 0.74 | -0.64 | 4.31% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #84 | 52% | 0.18 - 0.29 | 1.00 | 0.61 - 0.67 | -0.60 | 3.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Audition Reel | 51% | 0.90 - 1.12 | 1.00 | 1.02 - 1.03 | -0.99 | 13.99% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #9 | 50% | 0.69 - 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.94 - 0.84 | -0.88 | 0.66% |
|
| Wicked Windfall Case | 48% | 0.03 - 0.03 | 1.12 | 0.52 - 0.58 | -0.60 | 3.74% |
|
| Summer 2024 Cosmetic Case | 47% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.14 | 0.51 - 0.56 | -0.61 | 4.02% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #83 | 47% | 1.10 - 1.23 | 1.00 | 0.98 - 1.06 | -1.14 | 7.04% |
|
| Mayflower Cosmetic Case | 46% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.14 | 0.52 - 0.59 | -0.64 | 2.25% |
|
| Tough Break Cosmetic Case | 46% | 0.20 - 0.22 | 1.14 | 0.58 - 0.67 | -0.73 | 1.22% |
|
| Gargoyle Case | 46% | 3.89 - 4.82 | 1.19 | 2.34 - 2.72 | -3.01 | 5.99% |
|
| Confidential Collection Case | 45% | 4.92 - 5.81 | 1.14 | 2.79 - 3.07 | -3.58 | 8.91% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #20 | 45% | 1.33 - 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.04 - 1.08 | -1.30 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Engineer | 45% | 1.02 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.42 - 0.56 | -0.61 | 8.52% |
|
| Bone-Chilling Bonanza Case | 44% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.49 - 0.55 | -0.67 | 4.13% |
|
| Summer 2023 Cosmetic Case | 44% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.50 - 0.55 | -0.66 | 3.14% |
|
| Summer 2022 Cosmetic Case | 44% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.17 | 0.50 - 0.56 | -0.66 | 4.83% |
|
| Summer 2021 Cosmetic Case | 44% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.15 | 0.49 - 0.53 | -0.65 | 3.99% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Sniper | 44% | 0.99 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.42 - 0.52 | -0.61 | 7.76% |
|
| Winter 2020 Cosmetic Case | 42% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.16 | 0.47 - 0.52 | -0.67 | 1.03% |
|
| Winter 2019 Cosmetic Case | 42% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.47 - 0.53 | -0.68 | 0.81% |
|
| Quarantined Collection Case | 42% | 5.66 - 5.99 | 1.14 | 2.89 - 3.00 | -4.02 | 4.26% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Demo | 42% | 1.02 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.38 - 0.53 | -0.64 | 8.70% |
|
| Ghoulish Gains Case | 41% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.17 | 0.45 - 0.53 | -0.70 | 3.36% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #27 | 41% | 0.04 - 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.42 - 0.45 | -0.62 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Heavy | 41% | 1.00 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.38 - 0.51 | -0.64 | 7.98% |
|
| Winter 2021 Cosmetic Case | 40% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.15 | 0.44 - 0.50 | -0.69 | 1.00% |
|
| Rainy Day Cosmetic Case | 40% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.15 | 0.43 - 0.50 | -0.71 | 1.20% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Pyro | 40% | 1.05 - 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.39 - 0.50 | -0.68 | 9.01% |
|
| Terrifying Trove Case | 38% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.17 | 0.42 - 0.49 | -0.73 | 2.47% |
|
| The Concealed Killer Weapons Case | 38% | 0.47 - 0.59 | 1.11 | 0.46 - 0.79 | -1.01 | 6.31% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #19 | 38% | 1.11 - 1.44 | 1.00 | 0.84 - 0.88 | -1.42 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Multi-Class | 37% | 1.05 - 1.13 | 0.00 | 0.35 - 0.46 | -0.69 | 3.87% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Soldier | 37% | 1.01 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.36 - 0.44 | -0.69 | 7.16% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Scout | 37% | 1.04 - 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.30 - 0.52 | -0.71 | 8.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #57 | 36% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.35 - 0.37 | -0.65 | 11.66% |
|
| Violet Vermin Case | 35% | 0.27 - 0.34 | 1.14 | 0.47 - 0.55 | -0.93 | 2.62% |
|
| Powerhouse Weapons Case | 35% | 1.22 - 1.30 | 1.11 | 0.53 - 1.12 | -1.55 | 3.70% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #59 | 35% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.36 - 0.34 | -0.66 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #13 | 33% | 1.59 - 1.92 | 1.00 | 1.05 - 0.78 | -1.84 | 0.66% |
|
| Crimson Cache Case | 32% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.17 | 0.37 - 0.42 | -0.82 | 0.53% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #23 | 31% | 0.53 - 0.68 | 1.00 | 0.50 - 0.50 | -1.11 | 0.66% |
|
| Warbird Weapons Case | 30% | 3.43 - 3.63 | 1.09 | 0.92 - 1.82 | -3.25 | 7.40% |
|
| Gun Mettle Cosmetic Case | 30% | 3.35 - 3.55 | 1.15 | 1.31 - 1.44 | -3.23 | 1.82% |
|
| Pyroland Weapons Case | 28% | 4.77 - 5.58 | 1.09 | 0.74 - 2.80 | -4.49 | 4.72% |
|
| Robo Community Crate | 28% | 0.48 - 1.06 | 1.30 | 0.58 - 0.58 | -1.49 | 2.37% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #14 | 27% | 1.79 - 2.12 | 1.00 | 0.88 - 0.71 | -2.16 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #7 | 25% | 0.65 - 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.43 - 0.43 | -1.26 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Spy | 25% | 1.02 - 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.25 - 0.30 | -0.82 | 6.96% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #17 | 20% | 0.52 - 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.31 - 0.30 | -1.25 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #4 | 20% | 0.75 - 0.85 | 1.00 | 0.39 - 0.32 | -1.44 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #3 | 20% | 0.80 - 0.84 | 1.00 | 0.41 - 0.33 | -1.45 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #16 | 18% | 0.55 - 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.28 - 0.28 | -1.31 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #18 | 17% | 0.53 - 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.27 - 0.26 | -1.30 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #8 | 15% | 0.54 - 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.24 - 0.23 | -1.35 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #1 | 15% | 3.18 - 3.41 | 1.00 | 0.76 - 0.55 | -3.64 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Winter 2016 Cosmetic Case | 14% | 4.01 - 4.61 | 0.00 | 0.56 - 0.65 | -3.71 | 1.05% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #15 | 14% | 2.20 - 2.57 | 1.00 | 0.48 - 0.48 | -2.91 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #5 | 14% | 0.83 - 0.97 | 1.00 | 0.26 - 0.26 | -1.64 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #2 | 13% | 1.39 - 1.68 | 1.00 | 0.32 - 0.32 | -2.22 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #11 | 11% | 2.09 - 2.41 | 1.00 | 0.38 - 0.36 | -2.88 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #10 | 10% | 2.15 - 2.36 | 1.00 | 0.34 - 0.33 | -2.92 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #12 | 6% | 2.62 - 2.96 | 1.00 | 0.22 - 0.22 | -3.57 | 0.66% |
|