This is an export of TheLetterZed's spreadsheet as of 12/17/2024, 4:15:52 PM PT.
| Name | Average RTP | Crate Price (Keys) |
Cost to Open (Keys) |
Expected Value (Keys) |
Average Profit (Keys) |
Chance to Profit | Buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mann Co. Director's Cut Reel | 103% | 0.76 - 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.87 - 1.91 | 0.05 | 25.50% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #33 | 98% | 1.04 - 1.21 | 1.00 | 1.97 - 2.19 | -0.05 | 45.66% |
|
| Infernal Reward War Paint Case | 97% | 0.33 - 0.41 | 1.24 | 1.23 - 1.91 | -0.05 | 12.40% |
|
| Scream Fortress XIII War Paint Case | 97% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.20 | 0.92 - 1.42 | -0.04 | 12.98% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #50 | 96% | 80.36 - 96.18 | 1.00 | 82.28 - 89.32 | -3.47 | 39.73% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #28 | 96% | 0.41 - 0.56 | 1.00 | 1.40 - 1.46 | -0.06 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #49 | 96% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.98 - 0.99 | -0.04 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #76 | 95% | 0.02 - 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.97 - 0.99 | -0.05 | 20.46% |
|
| Scream Fortress X War Paint Case | 94% | 0.04 - 0.05 | 1.24 | 0.74 - 1.69 | -0.07 | 9.92% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #41 | 93% | 0.11 - 0.13 | 1.00 | 1.03 - 1.06 | -0.08 | 30.36% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #77 | 93% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.93 - 0.96 | -0.07 | 20.46% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #42 | 93% | 0.25 - 0.31 | 1.00 | 1.18 - 1.19 | -0.09 | 30.36% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #103 | 92% | 0.03 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.95 - 0.96 | -0.08 | 21.16% |
|
| Scream Fortress XII War Paint Case | 91% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.20 | 0.87 - 1.33 | -0.11 | 12.30% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #38 | 90% | 0.33 - 0.39 | 1.00 | 1.16 - 1.27 | -0.14 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #85 | 90% | 0.04 - 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.94 - 0.94 | -0.10 | 17.99% |
|
| Winter 2024 Cosmetic Case | 89% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.72 - 1.08 | -0.11 | 8.67% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #82 | 88% | 0.05 - 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.91 - 0.94 | -0.12 | 16.06% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #31 | 87% | 0.30 - 0.38 | 1.00 | 1.16 - 1.16 | -0.18 | 45.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #37 | 86% | 0.14 - 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.97 - 1.04 | -0.17 | 45.66% |
|
| Winter 2020 War Paint Case | 85% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.28 | 0.87 - 1.34 | -0.19 | 9.17% |
|
| Scream Fortress XIV War Paint Case | 85% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.27 | 0.90 - 1.29 | -0.19 | 10.07% |
|
| Summer 2023 War Paint Case | 84% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.24 | 0.87 - 1.23 | -0.20 | 10.40% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #60 | 84% | 10.24 - 11.23 | 1.00 | 8.48 - 11.26 | -1.86 | 40.26% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #32 | 81% | 0.07 - 0.10 | 1.00 | 0.89 - 0.87 | -0.21 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #47 | 81% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.83 - 0.83 | -0.20 | 40.26% |
|
| Winter 2017 War Paint Case | 80% | 4.34 - 5.06 | 1.13 | 3.11 - 6.19 | -1.18 | 21.19% |
|
| Jungle Jackpot War Paint Case | 77% | 0.40 - 0.48 | 1.26 | 1.02 - 1.61 | -0.38 | 11.74% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #54 | 76% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.76 - 0.79 | -0.24 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #45 | 76% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.79 - 0.75 | -0.25 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #24 | 74% | 0.72 - 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.25 - 1.37 | -0.46 | 23.16% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #30 | 72% | 76.43 - 118.03 | 1.00 | 65.74 - 76.10 | -27.31 | 19.80% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #25 | 69% | 0.50 - 0.59 | 1.00 | 1.06 - 1.09 | -0.48 | 23.16% |
|
| Salvaged Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #40 | 69% | 18.87 - 26.35 | 1.00 | 15.88 - 16.60 | -7.37 | 19.80% |
|
| Winter 2019 War Paint Case | 69% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.24 | 0.61 - 1.11 | -0.39 | 9.96% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #21 | 69% | 0.80 - 0.87 | 1.00 | 1.25 - 1.28 | -0.57 | 22.91% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #90 | 69% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.69 - 0.71 | -0.32 | 11.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #29 | 67% | 0.04 - 0.05 | 1.00 | 0.71 - 0.69 | -0.34 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #44 | 66% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.66 - 0.69 | -0.34 | 30.36% |
|
| Scream Fortress XVI War Paint Case | 64% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.30 | 0.70 - 0.99 | -0.47 | 7.00% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #71 | 63% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.64 - 0.65 | -0.37 | 0.66% |
|
| End of the Line Community Crate | 63% | 0.06 - 0.25 | 1.29 | 0.91 - 0.91 | -0.53 | 7.42% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #55 | 61% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.61 - 0.63 | -0.39 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #34 | 60% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.00 | 0.59 - 0.67 | -0.42 | 23.16% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #26 | 60% | 0.03 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.61 - 0.64 | -0.41 | 23.16% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Medic | 59% | 1.04 - 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.60 - 0.73 | -0.47 | 10.65% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #43 | 59% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.58 - 0.61 | -0.42 | 11.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #84 | 58% | 0.12 - 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.62 - 0.69 | -0.47 | 3.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #56 | 56% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.58 - 0.56 | -0.44 | 10.56% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #91 | 56% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.51 - 0.62 | -0.45 | 3.66% |
|
| Summer 2019 Cosmetic Case | 55% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.25 | 0.65 - 0.73 | -0.57 | 4.96% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #92 | 55% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.55 - 0.58 | -0.45 | 1.16% |
|
| Winter 2017 Cosmetic Case | 55% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.27 | 0.67 - 0.75 | -0.59 | 4.53% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #20 | 55% | 0.97 - 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.06 - 1.10 | -0.89 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #39 | 54% | 0.02 - 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.56 - 0.56 | -0.47 | 10.09% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Munition Series #83 | 53% | 0.83 - 1.05 | 1.00 | 0.98 - 1.10 | -0.90 | 7.04% |
|
| Summer 2020 Cosmetic Case | 53% | 0.10 - 0.13 | 1.18 | 0.64 - 0.74 | -0.61 | 5.16% |
|
| Spooky Spoils Case | 52% | 0.02 - 0.03 | 1.24 | 0.63 - 0.69 | -0.60 | 10.84% |
|
| Winter 2022 Cosmetic Case | 51% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.28 | 0.63 - 0.70 | -0.63 | 5.12% |
|
| Creepy Crawly Case | 51% | 2.77 - 3.20 | 1.15 | 1.95 - 2.28 | -2.02 | 5.99% |
|
| Winter 2018 Cosmetic Case | 50% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.27 | 0.60 - 0.68 | -0.64 | 2.50% |
|
| Winter 2023 Cosmetic Case | 50% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.29 | 0.62 - 0.67 | -0.66 | 4.97% |
|
| Quarantined Collection Case | 50% | 4.52 - 4.83 | 1.27 | 2.85 - 3.08 | -2.98 | 8.48% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #75 | 49% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.51 - 0.48 | -0.52 | 10.56% |
|
| Abominable Cosmetic Case | 49% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.25 | 0.57 - 0.67 | -0.65 | 3.45% |
|
| Confidential Collection Case | 49% | 4.77 - 5.42 | 1.27 | 2.97 - 3.32 | -3.22 | 8.91% |
|
| Mann Co. Audition Reel | 48% | 0.93 - 1.10 | 1.00 | 0.94 - 1.00 | -1.05 | 7.32% |
|
| Blue Moon Cosmetic Case | 48% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.24 | 0.56 - 0.65 | -0.65 | 6.43% |
|
| Unleash the Beast Cosmetic Case | 47% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.25 | 0.57 - 0.62 | -0.67 | 3.47% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Engineer | 46% | 1.11 - 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.45 - 0.63 | -0.64 | 8.52% |
|
| Gargoyle Case | 46% | 4.28 - 4.74 | 1.11 | 2.45 - 2.71 | -3.04 | 5.99% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Sniper | 44% | 1.09 - 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.42 - 0.63 | -0.67 | 7.76% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #9 | 44% | 0.61 - 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.70 - 0.73 | -0.91 | 0.66% |
|
| Winter 2020 Cosmetic Case | 43% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.23 | 0.51 - 0.56 | -0.71 | 1.03% |
|
| Wicked Windfall Case | 42% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.27 | 0.51 - 0.58 | -0.75 | 3.37% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #27 | 42% | 0.05 - 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.44 - 0.45 | -0.62 | 0.66% |
|
| Bone-Chilling Bonanza Case | 41% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.23 | 0.48 - 0.55 | -0.73 | 3.34% |
|
| Winter 2019 Cosmetic Case | 41% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.27 | 0.49 - 0.55 | -0.76 | 0.81% |
|
| Summer 2024 Cosmetic Case | 41% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.24 | 0.48 - 0.54 | -0.75 | 3.70% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Heavy | 40% | 1.07 - 1.24 | 0.00 | 0.42 - 0.52 | -0.69 | 7.49% |
|
| Summer 2022 Cosmetic Case | 40% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.28 | 0.49 - 0.55 | -0.77 | 3.25% |
|
| Mayflower Cosmetic Case | 40% | 0.05 - 0.08 | 1.25 | 0.50 - 0.56 | -0.79 | 2.25% |
|
| Winter 2021 Cosmetic Case | 40% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.24 | 0.48 - 0.52 | -0.75 | 1.85% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Demo | 39% | 1.09 - 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.43 - 0.51 | -0.72 | 8.49% |
|
| Summer 2023 Cosmetic Case | 39% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.25 | 0.46 - 0.52 | -0.78 | 3.14% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Scout | 39% | 1.07 - 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.40 - 0.51 | -0.70 | 8.16% |
|
| Summer 2021 Cosmetic Case | 39% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.21 | 0.44 - 0.50 | -0.75 | 3.99% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #19 | 38% | 1.02 - 1.12 | 1.00 | 0.78 - 0.78 | -1.29 | 0.66% |
|
| Ghoulish Gains Case | 37% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.27 | 0.44 - 0.51 | -0.81 | 2.52% |
|
| Rainy Day Cosmetic Case | 37% | 0.02 - 0.02 | 1.23 | 0.41 - 0.53 | -0.79 | 1.20% |
|
| The Concealed Killer Weapons Case | 37% | 0.43 - 0.50 | 1.13 | 0.46 - 0.73 | -1.01 | 4.10% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Pyro | 36% | 1.15 - 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.41 - 0.49 | -0.81 | 7.02% |
|
| Violet Vermin Case | 36% | 0.21 - 0.25 | 1.27 | 0.50 - 0.56 | -0.96 | 2.62% |
|
| Tough Break Cosmetic Case | 36% | 0.25 - 0.30 | 1.27 | 0.51 - 0.61 | -0.98 | 0.66% |
|
| Terrifying Trove Case | 35% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.30 | 0.42 - 0.50 | -0.85 | 1.26% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Soldier | 35% | 1.10 - 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.39 - 0.46 | -0.78 | 6.91% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Multi-Class | 35% | 1.09 - 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.37 - 0.47 | -0.77 | 3.13% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #57 | 35% | 0.01 - 0.02 | 1.00 | 0.36 - 0.34 | -0.66 | 11.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #23 | 34% | 0.41 - 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.50 - 0.50 | -0.96 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #14 | 31% | 1.56 - 1.65 | 1.00 | 0.99 - 0.66 | -1.78 | 0.66% |
|
| Crimson Cache Case | 31% | 0.05 - 0.06 | 1.27 | 0.37 - 0.44 | -0.92 | 0.53% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #59 | 30% | 0.01 - 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.30 - 0.30 | -0.71 | 0.66% |
|
| Powerhouse Weapons Case | 30% | 1.23 - 1.33 | 1.13 | 0.53 - 0.92 | -1.69 | 5.15% |
|
| Robo Community Crate | 29% | 0.52 - 1.07 | 1.24 | 0.58 - 0.60 | -1.44 | 2.37% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #7 | 28% | 0.50 - 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.43 - 0.43 | -1.09 | 0.66% |
|
| Gun Mettle Cosmetic Case | 26% | 3.53 - 4.08 | 1.25 | 1.26 - 1.39 | -3.74 | 1.82% |
|
| Warbird Weapons Case | 25% | 3.70 - 4.35 | 1.06 | 0.90 - 1.65 | -3.81 | 5.08% |
|
| Unlocked Cosmetic Crate Spy | 24% | 1.12 - 1.30 | 0.00 | 0.26 - 0.32 | -0.92 | 6.59% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #13 | 23% | 1.73 - 1.81 | 1.00 | 0.61 - 0.67 | -2.13 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #3 | 23% | 0.63 - 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.46 - 0.31 | -1.28 | 0.66% |
|
| Unlocked Winter 2016 Cosmetic Case | 22% | 2.67 - 3.08 | 0.00 | 0.58 - 0.70 | -2.24 | 2.18% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #17 | 21% | 0.37 - 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.30 - 0.30 | -1.12 | 0.66% |
|
| Pyroland Weapons Case | 20% | 4.36 - 4.87 | 1.06 | 0.72 - 1.56 | -4.54 | 5.01% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #16 | 20% | 0.42 - 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.29 - 0.28 | -1.16 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #18 | 19% | 0.40 - 0.46 | 1.00 | 0.27 - 0.27 | -1.16 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #4 | 18% | 0.62 - 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.29 - 0.31 | -1.36 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #15 | 16% | 1.69 - 2.15 | 1.00 | 0.46 - 0.46 | -2.46 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #8 | 16% | 0.41 - 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.24 - 0.22 | -1.22 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #1 | 15% | 3.15 - 3.20 | 1.00 | 0.70 - 0.51 | -3.57 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #5 | 15% | 0.63 - 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.26 - 0.25 | -1.39 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #2 | 12% | 1.41 - 1.78 | 1.00 | 0.32 - 0.32 | -2.27 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #11 | 11% | 2.20 - 2.33 | 1.00 | 0.37 - 0.35 | -2.91 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #10 | 11% | 2.06 - 2.37 | 1.00 | 0.35 - 0.35 | -2.87 | 0.66% |
|
| Mann Co. Supply Crate Series #12 | 5% | 3.17 - 3.66 | 1.00 | 0.22 - 0.22 | -4.19 | 0.66% |
|